Property Australia

Office markets go from strength to strength

PROPERTY AUSTRALIA February 11, 2020

Australia’s office markets remain strong, with Sydney and Melbourne CBDs at less than four per cent vacancies and strong tenant demand in most markets, reveals the Property Council’s latest Office Market Report.

Office vacancy rates fell in five of the eight capital city markets surveyed, while more than one million square metres of new office space prepares to come onto the market this year.

The January 2020 report shows the national vacancy rate decreased marginally over the last six months to 8.3 per cent compared to 8.4 per cent in the previous period.

The CBD vacancy rate was stable at eight per cent, while non-CBD vacancy decreased to 9.1 per cent driven by increased demand which was at its strongest level in eight years.

“Our office markets are a great economic barometer of our cities and these numbers show good demand for quality office space in most centres around the country,” says Property Council chief executive Ken Morrison.

Melbourne and Sydney have remained “super tight” and other markets record “healthy demand”.

Melbourne and Sydney CBDs have posted vacancy rates of 3.2 per cent and 3.9 per cent respectively. Hobart, Canberra, Darwin and Perth reported declines in vacancy rates. Hobart now has the third-lowest CBD vacancy rate at 4.1 per cent.

“While the Australian economy has been growing more slowly, the underlying fundamentals of our office markets appear strong,” Morrison adds.

“Net tenant demand actually fell somewhat in Sydney and Melbourne over the past six months, but in such tight markets it is difficult for existing businesses to grow or for new businesses to find space.”

More than 680,000 sqm of new CBD office space will come online in 2020 – 80 per cent of this in Sydney and Melbourne “where we need it most”.

The Melbourne CBD will account for 57 per cent of the new space in 2020, “making it our biggest expanding CBD office market in the country,” Morrison adds.

“Almost a quarter of the new supply for non-CBD markets over 2020 will be delivered in Parramatta and setting a new record for tenant absorption of office space in that market.”

 

Market insights

The Melbourne CBD office vacancy rate of 3.2 per cent is the lowest in the nation and at its record-low level. Almost 400,000 sqm of new supply will come to the market in 2020 – the biggest annual increase in three decades – for which almost 90 per cent is pre-committed.

Office vacancy in Sydney’s CBD increased slightly to 3.9 per cent mainly due to negative demand with major relocations to Parramatta and tenant consolidations. A large pipeline of premium office space is expected to come onto the market over the next few years, including 150,000 sqm in 2020.

Office vacancy increased in the Brisbane CBD to 12.7 per cent despite historically strong levels of demand. The headline vacancy figure has been influenced by the addition of the 300 George Street tower to the market, but underlying demand is an extremely positive sign for the city’s economy. Absorption over the past six months has been well over double the historical average for the Brisbane CBD.

Perth’s CBD vacancy rate has fallen to 17.6 per cent, with vacancy decreases and positive tenant demand now recorded over six consecutive periods. Tenants took up 32,738 sqm of office space, more than absorbing the 23,718 sqm of new supply. An additional 19,566 sqm will be added in 2020 with no other new space projected until 2023.

Adelaide has added almost 30,000 sqm of office supply additions which has seen an increase in the CBD vacancy rate to 14 per cent. Additional supply of almost 27,000 sqm to come online this year and more than 50,000 sqm from 2022 onwards is cause for optimism about the future of the Adelaide CBD.

Canberra’s vacancy rate has fallen to 10.3 per cent, now at its lowest level in over seven years, but still above the historic average of 7.4 per cent. Strong tenant demand at a six-year high drove vacancy down over the period at 28,202 sqm. A further 79,216 sqm is projected to enter the market over the next 12 months.

Hobart’s vacancy rate has fallen to 4.1 per cent, the third-lowest of any capital city after Melbourne and Sydney. All grades of office space recorded positive demand with the highest level of tenant demand since 2006. No new space is expected to come online after 2020 and over the medium term leading to a further tightening in the market.

Vacancy in the Darwin CBD has dropped to 16.8 per cent 6,475sqm of net absorption over the past 12 months and a tightening of vacancy for A grade office space to 7.1 per cent.

Head over to the Property Council’s Data Room for more research and insights.

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